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Eric on Forward Guidance Podcast - June 2023

Eric Crittenden joins Jack Farley on an episode of Forward Guidance. During the conversation Eric covers how price action, term structure, and liquidity play a role in the investment strategy at Standpoint. Later on, they discuss Eric’s opinion of Artificial Intelligence in general and specifically AI’s role in quantitative investment research.

Go to YouTube to watch the entire podcast.

Key Takeways

  • The size of the market determines the size of the position for active positions within Standpoint’s strategy. Size in futures markets is determined by open interest just like outstanding shares multiplied by price determines the market cap of a stock.

  • Artificial intelligence can help design a strategy that is profitable if it aligns with sustainable economic incentives. However, AI can lead system designers down a dangerous path if they pursue a strategy that has no fundamental reason for being profitable.

  • Eric believes that AI is useful to find a consensus view or a generally accepted way of doing things, but it is up to the human to decide if that suggested approach is actually a good idea. There are many times through history when the consensus view was catastrophically wrong.

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